Showing posts with label ICLEI. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ICLEI. Show all posts

13 December 2013

Opposition to Agenda 21 and What You Can Do



How does a nonbinding sustainability framework become, for some, a symbol of the loss of both individual rights and private property?
Agenda 21 is a nonbinding international agreement made at the United Nations (UN) Conference on Environment and Development in Rio de Janeiro in 1992.  In most countries it is simply a guideline to help countries make a more sustainable world.  But in the U.S., Agenda 21 is a term to be avoided, due to its more loaded interpretation by the Tea Party.  

In the U.S., it is common for Tea Partyists to disagree with environmentalists and planners, and for this disagreement to result in standstill.  In the interest of becoming a more empathic planner, and a more effective communicator, I have been curious about how to understand the Tea Party perspective.  Here I will explore the ideas behind the Tea Party interpretation of Agenda 21, the popularity of this opposition in the U.S., its impacts, the Tea Party mentality, and what environmental planners can do to engage the opposition constructively.

Opposition to Agenda 21

The dialogue of the opposition to Agenda 21 includes theories that extrapolate concerns about Agenda 21's intentions and implementation into dystopic futures.  Sound bites such as "pack'em and stack'em" enumerate the fear of suburbanites losing their way of life when they are forced to move into high rise buildings downtown (Lenz 2012).  Fear of this dystopia bleeds over into opposition to bicycle paths, public transit, and even into any initiative that has sustainable terms, including more social terms such as "equity" (Koire 2011).  


The opposition to Agenda 21 stems from a dislike of big government and defense of private property and individual rights (CBS 2010a, CBS 2010b).  It manifests as anti-global governance, such as the UN, and an association of green initiatives with socialism, fascism, or communism.  The debate plays out in a battle between the Tea Party and environmental governance institutions.  At the heart of this battle is the U.S. office of ICLEI, the UN's partner NGO for local Agenda 21 support (Clabough 2010, Koire 2011).  


Popularity of the Opposition in the U.S.

Agenda 21 oppositionists and Tea Party members are minorities in the U.S (APA 2012).  The majority of Americans oppose the Tea Party, 14% support them but are not active, and only 4% of Americans are active members of the Tea Party, having either donated or attended a Tea Party event (CBS 2010).  These active members constitute over 12 million people who have been highly instrumental despite their minority status in reframing the conversation around local environmental governance.




Impacts of Agenda 21 Opposition

As a result of the Tea Party's pressure, 47 bills have been introduced at the state level against Agenda 21 (Schonerd 2013).  Five of these have passed (Schonerd 2013), though in Missouri, the governor vetoed the bill (Jost 2013).  An account of the change in ICLEI memberships across the country reveals the influence of Tea Party activism as well.  Of the at least 715 local governments who have at one time been members of ICLEI, only 505 hold memberships today (this is a minimum based on analyzing memberships in 2010, 2012, and 2013 from icleiusa.org).  Withdrawn memberships have occurred across the country in forty states.


The Tea Party

The Tea Party first formed in 2008 after the downturn, but gelled after a large protest on September 12, 2009.  Today, several organizations constitute the Tea Party, and each has its own nuances.  



Three groups are instrumental in the anti-Agenda 21 rhetoric: FreedomWorks, the Tea Party Patriots, and the John Birch Society.  The Koch brothers founded FreedomWorks in 2004, and this organization now runs training events, conferences, research, and media production for many of the other Tea Party groups on top of maintaining a large membership (Clabough 2010)FreedomWorks was originally credited with founding the Tea Party itself (CSE 2002).  The John Birch Society has been active since 1958 but is now resurging on the tails of the Tea Party (Hurghart and Zezkind 2011).  The Tea Party Patriots is one of the grass roots Tea Party organizations, formed by three ordinary citizens who were fed up with the way America was being run.  It now has a wide membership (IREHR 2010). 





These organizations find leadership on the opposition to Agenda 21 through members of the U.S. Government, including Senator Ted Cruz (TX R) and Representative Michele Bachmann (MN R) (Cruz 2013).  Glenn Beck provides much of the information for the movement through his radio talk show, his magazine The Blaze, and even a novel he co-authored.  Rosa Koire has a novel of her own, and encourages Tea Party members to distribute her flyers, be active in local government, encourage their local government to withdraw ICLEI membership, and to oppose any initiatives that contain certain Agenda 21 buzzwords (Koire 2011).

Foundations of the Tea Party

At heart, the Tea Party is about smaller government and individual rights regarding property ownership.  The core of the Tea Party does not center around a common ground regarding environmental issues.  When surveyed, Tea Partyists are much more aligned about questions of government size than on climate change, for example.




Understanding the Tea Party

One way to understand the Tea Party is through an interesting framework established by psychologist Jonathan Haidt that measures the moral reasoning of individuals.  In 2011, Haidt identified five moral intuitions: care, fairness, loyalty, authority, and purity.

Using Haidt's five moral intuitions, Wojcik compared Tea Party members with members of other parties (Haidt and Graham 2007).  Wojcik found that Tea Party members utilized the five moral intuitions more evenly, much like conservatives and libertarians.


This makes it difficult for liberals to understand and communicate with Tea Partyists because they primarily use just two, care and fairness (2010; 2011a).  Wojcik also found that Tea Party supporters on average have a lower "Need for Cognition," defined as an innate attraction to tasks that are intellectually challenging (Mussell 2010).  A low need for cognition is correlated with a greater halo effect and high social anxiety (Petty et al. 2009, Osberg 1987).  On average, Tea Party supporters also have a higher need for social acceptance according to the Marlowe-Crowne Social Desirability Scale (Crowne and Marlowe 1960; Wojcik 2011b).  These differences reveal basic underlying ways of seeing the world, reasoning, and making value judgements that hinder communication across the political divide.


How to Engage the Tea Party

When determining how best to engage the Tea Party, environmental planners have two choices: they can focus more on short-term or on long-term effects. 



The short-term path involves marginalization, combating, and proselytizing Tea Party members.  However, this path can have high costs because negative reactions can feed the flames of subversive groups, increasing antagonistic membership and activism (Banerjee 2013).  The alternative is a more long-term approach that focuses on learning and understanding through participation.  This approach assumes that there is some collaborative benefit of working with those opposed to Agenda 21 rather than fighting, which is often the case for environmental conflict at the local level (Forester 2009).  At the grass roots level, the opposition to Agenda 21 does not come from a dislike of environmental issues per se, and therein lies the possibility for coordination between environmental advocates and the anti-Agenda 21 supporters.





In order to take advantage of the second approach, environmental planners must be able to recognize that there are disadvantages to Agenda 21 and that there are times when the Tea Party is right.   They must consider the perspective of Tea Party members in their interactions with the public.  This approach requires training in environmental conflict management, time and resources for the participatory process, and the courage to be open to a more bottom-up method that is not controlled from the top.  This approach has the potential benefits of reducing oppositional posturing, increasing the effectiveness of local government, and improving outcomes.


Building trust, and finding areas of common ground are two crucial factors when engaging any groups that have a history of disagreement.  If environmentalists are to engage Tea Partyists, they must do the same.  

Trust building is based on developing relationships, and this can only happen if there is dialogue between groups as well as some transparency.  Therefore, environmentalists need to get out there and talk with (no, make that listen to) more people that are on the other side of the political spectrum.

Potential areas of overlap include the principal of subsidiarity, which is the legalese term for using the smallest size governing body that is effective to get something done (i.e. if it can be done at the local level, it should be done there, and not at the national level).  Using smaller-scale governments is often recognized by both groups, in principle, though this can change depending if the larger scale is aligning with the views of the group on any particular issue.

This post is based on material from a presentation and paper from Dec 2013 by Jennifer Rae Pierce at the Intersection of Crisis and Transition conference held by the Department of Environmental Science and Policy at Central European University, in Budapest, Hungary.

References

American Planning Association (APA). 2012. Planning in America: perceptions and priorities. Making Great Communities Happen (June).
Banerjee, T. 2013. Media, Movements and mobilization: Tea Party protests in the U.S., 2009-2010. In Research in Social Movements, Conflicts and Change, Volume 35. Ed. P.G. Coy.
Burghart, D. and Zezkind, L. 2011. Special report: Freedomworks and the John Birch Society problem. IREHR. http://www.irehr.org/issue-areas/tea-party-nationalism/tea-party-news-and-analysis/item/299-special-report-freedomworks-and-the-john-birch-society-problem
CBS News/New York Times (CBS). 2010a. The Tea Party movement: what they think. Poll (April 14). http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/poll_tea_party_041410.pdf
---. 2010b. The Tea Party movement: who they are. Poll (April 14). http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/poll_tea_party_who_they_are_041410.pdf
Citizens for a Sound Economy (CSE). 2002. U.S. Tea Party. Internet Archive WaybackMachine (September 13). URL: http://web.archive.org/web/20020913052026/http://www.usteaparty.com/
Clabough, R. 2010. Beck Closely Examines Tea Party Movement. The New American (August 1). URL: http://www.thenewamerican.com/usnews/politics/item/3259-beck-closely-examines-tea-party-movement
Crowne, D. P., & Marlowe, D. (1960). A new scale of social desirability independent of psychopathology. Journal of Consulting Psychology, 24, 349-354.
Cruz, T. 2013. Glenn talks to Senator Ted Cruz for the first time since marathon 21-hour anti-Obamacare speech. The Blaze TV (September 27). Video. 13:34. URL: www.glennbeck.com/2013/09/27/glenn-talks-to-sen-ted-cruz-for-the-first-time-since-marathon-21-hour-anti-obamacare-speech
Forester, J.  2009.  Dealing with differences : dramas of mediating public disputes.  Oxford ; New York :  Oxford University Press
Haidt, J. and Graham, J. 2007. When morality opposes justice: conservatives have moral intuitions that liberals may not recognize. Social Justice Research 20, 1 (March): 98-116.
Institute for Research and Education on Human Rights (IREHR). 2010. Tea Party Nationalism. Special Report (Fall). pdf. URL: http://www.irehr.org/news/special-reports/item/443
Iyer, R. 2013. The moral foundations of environmentalists. YourMorals Blog (April 4). URL: http://www.yourmorals.org/blog/2013/04/the-moral-foundations-of-environmentalists/
Jost, A. 2013.  Rowland pushes for veto override of bill banning Agenda 21. The Missouri Times (July 23). URL: http://multistate.com/insider/?p=615
Koire, R. 2011. Agenda 21: The United Nations Plan for Global Control. Tea Party Television (June 24). Video. URL: http://fellowshipoftheminds.com/2011/06/24/lesbian-democrat-lays-it-on-the-line-about-agenda-21/
Lenz, R. 2012. Antigovernment conspiracy theorists rail against UN's Agenda 21 program. Intelligence Report 145 (Spring).
Mussell, Patrick (2010). Epistemic curiosity and related constructs: Lacking evidence of discriminant validity. Personality and Individual Differences 49 (5): 506–510.
Osberg, Timothy M. (1987). The Convergent and Discriminant Validity of the Need for Cognition Scale. Journal of Personality Assessment 3 (3): 441–450.
Petty, Richard E.; Briñol, P; Loersch, C.; McCaslin, M.J. (2009). Chapter 21: The Need for Cognition. In Leary, Mark R. & Hoyle, Rick H. Handbook of Individual Differences in Social behavior. New York/London: The Guildford Press. pp. 318–329.
Schonerd, D. 2013. Agenda 21: State Legislative Scorecard. Multistate Insider (May 16). URL: http://multistate.com/insider/?p=615
Wojcik, S. 2010. A moral profile of Tea Party supporters. YourMorals Blog (October 16). URL: http://www.yourmorals.org/blog/2010/10/a-moral-profile-of-tea-party-supporters/
Wojcik, S. 2011a. Tea for two: the split personality of the tea party. YourMorals Blog (February 9). URL: http://www.yourmorals.org/blog/2011/02/tea-for-two-the-split-personality-of-the-tea-party/
Wojcik, S. 2011b. The Tea Party and compromise. YourMorals Blog (October 13). URL: http://www.yourmorals.org/blog/2011/10/the-tea-party-and-compromise/

15 September 2012

Factors Influencing ICLEI Membership

What makes an ICLEI member city?

ICLEI – Local Governments for Sustainability, is an international NGO who works with local institutions, primarily municipalities, to support the implementation of sustainable goals.  One of the primary mechanisms that ICLEI uses to implement its programs is through official membership, for which they charge a small yearly fee.  In return, members gain access to grant opportunities, international recognition, publications, workshops, and opportunities to participate in sustainability programs.  The ICLEI website lists 1173 local governments and associated entities as current members, representing 81 countries.  947 of these members are local municipalities (cities, towns, etc.) and the other 226 are city networks, nonprofits, and county or regional governments. With the ICLEI membership being so vital to ICLEI as an organization, and often serving as a primary support vehicle for the implementation of the UN’s Agenda 21, this analysis seeks to determine whether there are correlative properties that serve as country-level indicators for city membership in ICLEI.

Methodology

My analysis utilizes the list of members available here on ICLEI’s website.  I then separated cities, villages, towns, and other small governments from regional or county level governments, networks, NGOs and other such groups.  As a rough indicator of the level of participation of cities in each country, I used the number of city members divided by country population, resulting in numbers from just over 3 per million citizens to zero.  Zero indicates countries that did not have small government members, but only had regional or other types of members instead (see figure below).  The two top scoring countries, the Maldives and Iceland, each have relatively small populations and contain one city that is a member and that also accounts for about a third of their total populations.  Subsequent countries have less extreme ratios of member cities to total population.



I then looked at 4 potential country-level indicators for city membership, including (1) the presence of an ICLEI regional office in the country, (2) Kyoto protocol signatories, (3) GDP per capita, and (4) the GINI index (a common measure of equity defined by the World Bank).  I will explain here why I selected each variable.

(1) The ICLEI website indicates regional offices in South Africa, Canada, the United States, Germany, Japan, Korea, Brazil, Mexico, Australia, India, and the Philippines.  These 11 countries account for 850 memberships – nearly 75% of total memberships (529 of these are in the U.S.)  I hypothesized that having a regional office in country would correlate with higher membership rates due to stronger ICLEI networks in countries with ICLEI staff.  (source: http://www.iclei.org/index.php?id=global-contact-us)
(2) I used signing the Kyoto protocol as a rough indicator of how environmentally mindful the national government was in a particular country (see somewhat out-of-date map below to get an idea).  I did not take into account ratification status, since nearly every country in this analysis has ratified other than Canada and the U.S.  This variable could result in a higher likelihood of membership due to the environmental leanings of the national government being a reflection of the views of citizenry.  Alternatively, however, it is possible that local governments in countries that had not signed the Kyoto protocol would need the use ICLEI’s services more, due to lack of national government support.  This would generate a negative correlation between the two variables.  Either way, I expected this variable to have some effect on membership rates. (source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_parties_to_the_Kyoto_Protocol)
(3) GDP per capita serves as a measure of country wealth, and often as an indicator of citizen interest in environmental measures, especially due to the impression that sustainable activities reduce economic prosperity.  I expected GDP to correlate positively with membership. (source: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD/countries)
(4) The GINI index measures the disparity between the wealthiest and the poorest in a country.  This can be used as another type of measurement for country prosperity, and I expected it to correlate positively with membership. (source: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.GINI)

In plain English, I expected that member cities would be more likely in countries that contained a regional ICLEI office, had higher GDP, and higher income equality.  I wasn’t sure whether being Kyoto signatories would encourage or decrease membership rates, but expected there to be some effect.  I did not expect these indicators to correlate to a high degree with membership due to the complexities inherent in making the decision to join ICLEI, but expected to find some predictably of results.

World Map of Kyoto signatories and ratification status. 
Many more countries have since ratified the treaty, including Australia, Turkey, and over 20 others.
(photo source: morriscourse.com)

For the sake of simplicity, I used country-level information, since there were only 81 countries but over 900 cities.  Further investigations could look at city-level indicators in order to find potential greater correlation values and could take into account other variables such as municipality size or budget.

For the actual analysis, I utilized the freeware R, and performed a multiple linear regression on the data.

Results

After performing the multiple linear regression analysis, which uses the computer to perform calculus on the four variables to determine if any of them correlate with ICLEI membership, I found that the most correlative descriptor was GDP/capita.  Even this was not a big predictor, and could account only for a 1.32% increase in memberships per million people for each US$1,000 increase in GDP/capita.  Surprisingly, hosting an ICLEI office and the GINI index were not statistically significant factors.  I ended up dropping the GINI index from the analysis altogether since it was not helping overall accuracy of the results (read: R-squared values decreased).  Signing the Kyoto protocol had a slight negative correlation, but not one significant enough to account for much.

For those who prefer to read the statistics, here are the base results given by R:

Residuals:
     Min                 1Q         Median            3Q             Max
-0.82992    -0.40870    -0.15950     0.08209    2.66220

Coefficients:
                                           Estimate        Std. Error        t value        Pr(>|t|)   
(y-Intercept)                  4.047e-01      1.404e-01         2.882        0.00512
ICLEI office                     2.597e-02      2.373e-01         0.109        0.91315
Kyoto Signatory          -3.164e-01      1.646e-01       -1.922        0.05833
GDP/capita (US$1)      1.326e-05      3.846e-06         3.448        0.00092

Residual standard error: 0.7257 on 77 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-squared: 0.1597
Adjusted R-squared: 0.127
F-statistic: 4.879 on 3 and 77 DF
p-value: 0.003694

In an effort to find stronger correlations, I tried using all memberships rather than just cities, and various variables transformations.  None of these manipulations resulted in any headway on answering the question at hand.

Conclusions

I was so sure that hosting an ICLEI office would have a positive correlation with memberships that I would caution using these results without further analysis.  Purely looking at membership numbers would suggest such a trend, but it may be that higher GDP is in fact a stronger correlation.  These findings suggest that ICLEI memberships are more difficult to predict than I had originally anticipated.  This indicates that while it may be easier to gain memberships in wealthier countries, this is not a strong correlation, and is much weaker than might have been realized.  Thus far, it does not appear that there is a shortcut that can aid in gaining memberships more quickly.  This may also indicate that the globe is indeed pulling together, at least in cities, to work on global issues, and is not as divided as the Kyoto protocol or income inequalities might indicate.

Future analyses may want to pursue energy sources or climate impact as possible drivers for membership as well.  Please send me your comments on what other options could be explored, or to request the raw data.